Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.486000 0.554748 0.626424 0.706446 0.793011 0.883560 0.985167
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.409022 0.508141 0.617019 0.744378 0.888165 1.044429 1.226043
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.331475 0.448105 0.582878 0.747475 0.940478 1.157185 1.416460
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.289251 0.421987 0.582350 0.785439 1.031004 1.313886 1.659923
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.241385 0.381712 0.559204 0.792210 1.082362 1.424691 1.851991
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.202449 0.347031 0.538265 0.797907 1.129984 1.530152 2.038481
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.175486 0.324486 0.529793 0.816948 1.192730 1.653679 2.247745
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.154896 0.307883 0.526870 0.841466 1.261539 1.784768 2.467437
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.137094 0.292753 0.523939 0.864515 1.327770 1.912820 2.684555
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.115157 0.267639 0.503931 0.861919 1.358773 1.995622 2.845478
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.100478 0.252269 0.496528 0.875605 1.410728 2.105095 3.040532
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.084240 0.231383 0.478483 0.872233 1.438282 2.182371 3.194789
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.066064 0.203735 0.447547 0.848573 1.437516 2.223370 3.304760
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.057218 0.192934 0.442993 0.863787 1.491110 2.336900 3.509819
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.045444 0.173164 0.421133 0.850754 1.503384 2.394622 3.642318
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.041221 0.169776 0.427534 0.881950 1.579883 2.540067 3.891598
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.033945 0.157079 0.415763 0.883125 1.611971 2.624912 4.061272
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.027900 0.145795 0.405338 0.885536 1.645355 2.711469 4.233687
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.024164 0.139919 0.404627 0.903667 1.702251 2.831010 4.451169
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021447 0.136337 0.408003 0.928483 1.769374 2.965278 4.689371
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.018948 0.132693 0.410836 0.952228 1.835046 3.098048 4.926553
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.014979 0.122312 0.398538 0.948940 1.858658 3.171352 5.083316
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.012636 0.116983 0.396431 0.963215 1.909488 3.283598 5.293911